Examining the performance of Shari’ah‑compliant versus conventional stock indexes: A comparative analysis pre-, during, and post-COVID-19
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2024.2.1177Keywords:
Islamic finance, indexes, stochastic dominance, COVID-19Abstract
This study aims to conduct an empirical comparative analysis of the performance of Shari’ah and conventional stock indexes during the period 2017–2023, which includes the COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, it aims to investigate investors’ preferences and analyse the long-term relationship of these indexes, as well as exploring the potential diversification benefits. The research methodology incorporates stochastic dominance analysis, the VARMAX procedure, and Johansen’s co-integration approach. The data utilized consists of 31 conventional and 31 Islamic stock indexes, specifically from the FTSE, DJ, MSCI, and S&P series.
The results show that there are no long-term co-integration links between 30 out of 31 pairs of Islamic and conventional indexes. While conventional indexes tend to outperform Islamic indexes, they also come with a higher risk. On the other hand, Islamic indexes are considered to be less risky, offering potential diversification opportunities that may be attractive for global portfolios, particularly during periods of financial distress.
Downloads
References
Abbes, M. B., & Trichilli, Y. (2015). Islamic stock markets and potential diversification benefits. Borsa Istanbul Review, 15(2), 93–105. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2015.03.001
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2015.03.001
Abu-Alkheil, A., Khan, W. A., Parikh, B., & Mohanty, S. K. (2017). Dynamic co-integration and portfolio diversification of Islamic and conventional indices: Global evi- dence. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 66, 212–224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2017.02.005
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2017.02.005
Al-Awadhi, A. M., Alsaifi, K., Al-Awadhi, A., & Alhammadi, S. (2020). Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market re- turns. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27(1), 100326. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100326
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100326
AlKhazali, O., Lean, H. H., & Zoubi, T. (2022). The size anomaly in Islamic stock indexes: A stochastic dominance approach. International Journal of Financial Studies, 10(4), 102. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs10040102
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs10040102
Alsharari, N. M., & Alhmoud, T. R. (2019). The determinants of profitability in Sharia-compliant corporations: Evidence from Jordan. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, 10(4), 546–564. https://doi.org/10.1108/jiabr-05-2016-0055
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-05-2016-0055
Angosto-Fernández, P. L., & Ferrández-Serrano, V. (2022). World capital markets facing the first wave of COVID-19: Traditional event study versus sensitivity to new cases. Economics and Business Review, 8(4), 5–38. https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2022.4.2
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2022.4.2
Anh, D. L. T., & Gan, C. (2020). The impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on stock market performance: Evidence from Vietnam. Journal of Economic Studies, 48(4). https://doi.org/10.1108/jes-06-2020-0312
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-06-2020-0312
Arif, M., Naeem, M. A., Hasan, M., M Alawi, S., & Taghizadeh-Hesary, F. (2021). Pandemic crisis versus global financial crisis: Are Islamic stocks a safe-haven for Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 35, 1707–1733. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677x.2021.1910532
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2021.1910532
Arouri, M. E., Ben Ameur, H., Jawadi, N., Jawadi, F., & Louhichi, W. (2013). Are Islamic finance innovations enough for investors to escape from a financial downturn? Further evidence from portfolio simulations. Applied Economics, 45(24), 3412– 3420. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2012.707776
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2012.707776
Ashraf, D. (2013, June 30–July 3). Genesis of differential performance between Shari’ah compliant equity indexes and conventional indexes. 20th Annual Conference of the Multinational Finance Society. Izmir, Turkey.
View in Google Scholar
Aslam, F., Mohmand, Y. T., Ferreira, P., Memon, B. A., Khan, M., & Khan, M. (2020). Network analysis of global stock markets at the beginning of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak. Borsa Istanbul Review, 20, S49–S61. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2020.09.003
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2020.09.003
Cheong, C. W. H. (2021). Risk, resilience, and Shariah-compliance. Research in International Business and Finance, 55, 101313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101313
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101313
Cheong, M. P., Sheble, G. B., Berleant, D., Teoh, C. C., Argaud, J. Ph., Dancre, M., Andrieu, L., & Barjon, F. (2007). Second order stochastic dominance portfolio optimization for an electric energy company. Power Tech Conference, Lausanne, Switzerland.
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/PCT.2007.4538421
Chowdhury, M. I. H., Balli, F., & Bruin, A. (2021). Islamic equity markets versus their conventional counterparts in the COVID-19 age: Reaction, resilience, and recovery. International Review of Finance, 22(2), 315–324. https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.12349
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.12349
Clark, E., Qiao, Z., & Wong, W. K. (2015). Theories of risk: Testing investor behavior on the Taiwan stock and stock index future markets. Economic Inquiry, 54(2), 907– 924. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12288
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12288
Davidson, R., & Duclos, J. (2000). Statistical inference for stochastic dominance and for the measurement of poverty and inequality. Econometrica, 68(6), 1435–1464. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00167
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00167
Denuit, M., Eeckhoudt, L., Tsetlin, I., & Winkler, R. L. (2010). Multivariate concave and convex stochastic dominance. SSRN Electronic Journal, 29. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1594799
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1594799
Dharani, M., Hassan, M. K., Rabbani, M. R., & Huq, T. (2021). Does the COVID-19 pandemic affect faith-based investments? Evidence from global sectoral in- dexes. Research in International Business and Finance, 59, 101537. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101537
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101537
Ding, W., Levine, R. E., Lin, C., & Xie, W. (2020). Corporate immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic. SSRN Electronic Journal, 141(2). https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3578585
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3578585
Elowitz, L., Janis, I. L., & Mann, L. (1978). Decision making—a psychological analysis of conflict, choice, and commitment. Military Affairs, 42(2), 105. https://doi.org/10.2307/1987412
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1987412
Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236
Erdoğan, S., Gedikli, A., & Çevik, E.I. (2020). The effects of the covid-19 pandemic on conventional and Islamic stock markets in Turkey. Bilimname, 42, 89–110. https://doi.org/10.28949/bilimname.799413
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.28949/bilimname.799413
Fan, W. (2003). An empirical study of cointegration and causality in the Asia-Pacific stock markets. Social Science Research Network. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.360160
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.360160
Fong, W. M., Wong, W. K., & Lean, H. H. (2005). International momentum strategies: A stochastic dominance approach. Journal of Financial Markets, 8(1), 89–109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2004.08.001
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2004.08.001
Gomes, F. J. (2005). Portfolio choice and trading volume with loss-averse investors. The Journal of Business, 78(2), 675–706. https://doi.org/10.1086/427643
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/427643
Goodell, J. W. (2020). COVID-19 and finance: Agendas for future research. Finance Research Letters, 35, 101512. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101512
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101512
Grira, J., Hassan, M. K., & Soumare, I. (2016). Pricing beliefs: Empirical evidence from the implied cost of deposit insurance for Islamic banks. Economic Modelling, 55, 152–168.
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2016.01.026
Habib, M., & Islam, K. U. (2014). Performance of Shariah compliant index: A comparative study of India and Malaysia. Indonesian Journal of Islam and Muslim Societies, 1(6), 231–241. https://ssrn.com/abstract=2713219
View in Google Scholar
Hamo, Y., & Heifetz, A. (2001). An evolutionary perspective on goal seeking and esca- lation of commitment. Working Papers 2001-4. https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:fth:teavfo:2001-4
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.258248
Hasan, M. B., Hassan, M. K., Rashid, M. M., & Alhenawi, Y. (2021a). Are safe haven assets really safe during the 2008 global financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic? Global Finance Journal, 50, 100668. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2021.100668
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2021.100668
Hasan, M. B., Mahi, M., Hassan, M. K., & Bhuiyan, A. B. (2021b). Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on stock markets: Conventional vs. Islamic indexes using wavelet-based multi-timescales analysis. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 58, 101504. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2021.101504
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2021.101504
Hendry, D. F., & Juselius, K. (2001). Explaining cointegration analysis: Part II. The Energy Journal, 22(1). https://doi.org/10.5547/issn0195-6574-ej-vol22-no1-4
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol22-No1-4
Heyden, K. J., & Heyden, T. (2020). Market reactions to the arrival and containment of COVID-19: An event study. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101745. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101745
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101745
Hodges, C. W., & Yoder, J. A. (1996). Time diversification and security preferences: A stochastic dominance analysis. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 7(3), 289–298. https://doi.org/10.1007/bf00245255
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00245255
Ibrahim, M. H. (2015). Issues in Islamic banking and finance: Islamic banks, Shari’ah compliant investment and sukuk. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 34, 185–191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2015.06.002
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2015.06.002
Ilhan, B., & Masih, M. (2014). Do portfolio diversification opportunities exist across the Euro zone Islamic equity markets? MGARCH-DCC and Wavelet Correlation analysis. MPRA Working Paper, 57688. http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/57688/
View in Google Scholar
Khamlichi, A. E., Sarkar, K., Arouri, M., & Teulon, F. (2014). Are Islamic equity indices more efficient than their conventional counterparts? Evidence from major global index families. Journal of Applied Business Research, 30(4), 1137–1150. https://doi.org/10.19030/jabr.v30i4.8660
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.19030/jabr.v30i4.8660
Kok, S., Giorgioni, G., & Laws, J. (2009). Performance of Shariah-compliant indices in London and NY stock markets and their potential for diversification.
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1504/IJMEF.2009.029071
International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, 2(3/4), 398–408. https://doi.org/10.1504/ijmef.2009.029071
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1504/IJMEF.2009.029071
Lean, H. H., Smyth, R., & Wong, W. (2007). Revisiting calendar anomalies in Asian stock markets using a stochastic dominance approach. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 17(2), 125–141. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mulfin.2006.05.003
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mulfin.2006.05.003
Levy, H., & Levy, M. (2003). Prospect theory and mean-variance analysis. Review of Financial Studies, 17(4), 1015–1041. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhg062
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhg062
Levy, H., & Wiener, Z. (1998). Stochastic dominance and prospect dominance with subjective weighting functions. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 16, 147–163. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007730226688
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-2840-8_5
Masih, M., Al-Sahlawi, M. A., & Lurion De Mello. (2010). What drives carbon-dioxide emissions: Income or electricity generation? Evidence from Saudi Arabia. The Journal of Energy and Development, 33(2), 201–213.
View in Google Scholar
Masih, R., & Masih, A. M. (2001). Long and short term dynamic causal transmission amongst international stock markets. Journal of International Money and Finance, 20(4), 563–587. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0261-5606(01)00012-2
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0261-5606(01)00012-2
Miniaoui, H., Sayani, H., & Chaibi, A. (2015). The impact of financial crisis on Islamic and conventional indexes of the GCC countries. Journal of Applied Business Research, 31(2), 357–370. https://doi.org/10.19030/jabr.v31i2.9171
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.19030/jabr.v31i2.9171
Mishra, N. P., Das, S. S., Yadav, S., Khan, W., Afzal, M., Alarifi, A., Kenawy, E. R., Ansari, M. T., Hasnain, M. S., & Nayak, A. K. (2020). Global impacts of pre- and post-COVID-19 pandemic: Focus on socio-economic consequences. Sensors International, 1(100042), 100042. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sintl.2020.100042
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sintl.2020.100042
Mumtaz, H., Shahmoradi, A., & Turk, R. (2016). An overview of Islamic finance. Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy, 7(1), 1–28. https://doi.org/10.1142/S1793993316500034
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S1793993316500034
Nomran, N. M., & Haron, R. (2021). The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on Islamic versus conventional stock markets: international evidence from financial markets. Future Business Journal, 7(1), 33. https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-021-00078-5
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-021-00078-5
Odean, T. (1998). Are investors reluctant to realize their losses? The Journal of Finance, 53(5), 1775–1798. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00072
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00072
Post, T., van Vliet, P., & Levy, H. (2008). Risk aversion and skewness preference. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(7), 1178–1187. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2006.02.008
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2006.02.008
Saiti, B. (2014). Integration between the conventional and Islamic stock indexes with the US stock market: Evidence from cointegration analysis. Australian Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences, 8(10), 18–30.
View in Google Scholar
Saiti, B., Bacha, O. I., & Masih, M. (2014). The diversification benefits from Islamic investment during the financial turmoil: The case for the US-based equity investors. Borsa Istanbul Review, 14(4), 196–211. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2014.08.002
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2014.08.002
Salisu, A. A., & Sikiru, A. A. (2020). Pandemics and the Asia-Pacific Islamic stocks. Asian Economics Letters, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.46557/001c.17413
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.46557/001c.17413
Shaikh, S. (2010). A brief review & introduction to practiced Islamic banking & finance. MPRA Paper 19458. https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/19458.html
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1536943
Sheng, H., & Tu, A. H. (2000). A study of cointegration and variance decomposition among national equity indices before and during the period of the Asian financial crisis. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 10(3–4), 345–365. https://doi.org/10.1016/s1042-444x(00)00034-7
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1042-444X(00)00034-7
Sherif, M. (2020). The impact of Coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak on faith-based investments: An original analysis. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 28, 100403. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100403
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100403
Standard and Poor’s. (2022). Islamic finance outlook. https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research/pdf-articles/islamic-finance-outlook-2022-28102022v1.pdf
View in Google Scholar
Standard Chartered. (2023). Islamic finance and the securities market outlook for 2023. https://www.sc.com/en/news/financial-institutions-investor-groups/islam-ic-finance-securities-market-outlook-2023/
View in Google Scholar
Tahir, M., & Ibrahim, S. (2020). The performance of Shariah-compliant companies during and after the recession period—evidence from companies listed on the FTSE All World Index. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, 11(3), 573–587. https://doi.org/10.1108/jiabr-07-2016-0082
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-07-2016-0082
Tanin, T. I., Ahmad, A. U. F., & Muneeza, A. (2021). Shariah-compliant equities and Shariah screening: need for convergence of ethical screening of stocks with Shariah screening. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 18(2), 296–315. https://doi.org/10.1108/ijoem-09-2020-1041
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJOEM-09-2020-1041
Topcu, M., & Gulal, O. S. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 on emerging stock markets. Finance Research Letters, 36, 101691. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101691
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101691
Whitmore, G., & Findlay, M. (1978). Stochastic dominance: An approach to decision-making under risk health. Lexington Books.
View in Google Scholar
WHO (World Health Organization). (2023). Statement on the fifteenth meeting of the IHR (2005) Emergency Committee on the COVID-19 pandemic. https://www.who.int/news/item/05-05-2023-statement-on-the-fifteenth-meeting-of-the-international-health-regulations-(2005)-emergency-committee-regarding-the-cor-onavirus-disease-(covid-19)-pandemic
View in Google Scholar
Wong, W. K., & Chan, R. H. (2007). Prospect and Markowitz stochastic dominance. Annals of Finance, 4(1), 105–129. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10436-007-0072-4
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10436-007-0072-4
Worthington, A., & Higgs, H. (2003). Transmission of equity returns and volatility in Asian developed and emerging markets: A multivariate GARCH analysis. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 9(1), 71–80. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.222
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.222
Yarovaya, L., Elsayed, A. H., & Hammoudeh, S. (2021). Determinants of spillovers between Islamic and conventional financial markets: Exploring the safe haven assets during the COVID-19 pandemic. Finance Research Letters, 43, 101979. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.101979
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.101979
Zhang, D., Hu, M., & Ji, Q. (2020). Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19. Finance Research Letters, 36, 101528. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101528
View in Google Scholar
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101528
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Ahmad Abu-Alkheil, Nizar Alsharari, Walayet Khan, Sara Ramzani, Phungmayo Horam

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
